Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 11.661283 13.389059 15.235230 17.349109 19.696792 22.218375 25.125645
2025-11-16 8.988047 11.260538 13.858211 17.026039 20.762308 25.005788 30.165467
2025-11-23 7.229817 9.706369 12.690439 16.508347 21.217154 26.786609 33.819705
2025-11-30 6.229540 8.865918 12.185113 16.601520 22.247109 29.141402 38.106877
2025-12-07 5.442821 8.168656 11.738793 16.656711 23.142598 31.283408 42.136773
2025-12-14 4.851319 7.644909 11.437674 16.827099 24.133392 33.526152 46.320678
2025-12-21 4.312489 7.122794 11.071368 16.848577 24.883634 35.442989 50.110711
2025-12-28 3.982742 6.860593 11.028895 17.285581 26.182359 38.096546 54.923512
2026-01-04 3.657468 6.565165 10.902939 17.575843 27.266208 40.475424 59.423388
2026-01-11 3.314701 6.202571 10.640092 17.634367 28.002988 42.382496 63.320502
2026-01-18 2.892945 5.664338 10.061105 17.173218 27.948601 43.164381 65.667830
2026-01-25 2.553017 5.223914 9.593650 16.838649 28.042778 44.132891 68.275565
2026-02-01 2.243054 4.804245 9.129089 16.481592 28.088749 45.040034 70.841124
2026-02-08 1.978921 4.435944 8.716396 16.173443 28.182264 46.004607 73.503044
2026-02-15 1.715605 4.035999 8.213137 15.677123 27.945455 46.454018 75.407394
2026-02-22 1.573295 3.853618 8.071527 15.766447 28.625861 48.283995 79.376612
2026-03-01 1.440138 3.673326 7.917145 15.819360 29.241030 50.023476 83.246447
2026-03-08 1.334664 3.537771 7.832237 15.982722 30.035217 52.052462 87.594109
2026-03-15 1.221277 3.370958 7.673976 16.003316 30.586842 53.712478 91.414565
2026-03-22 1.164255 3.322651 7.737942 16.422363 31.817153 56.465460 96.968342
2026-03-29 1.095826 3.239835 7.726883 16.700744 32.814053 58.870063 102.034395
2026-04-05 1.010129 3.105319 7.601168 16.756877 33.425901 60.669203 106.192996
2026-04-12 0.885499 2.858181 7.224105 16.314610 33.145838 61.010654 108.060687